FemmeFan Weekly: Favre - No Mas?

NFL 2005 Team Betting Tips

NFL Trends For This Week

Arizona: Don't get fooled by the 34-45 ATS over the last 5 years, last year the Cardinals were 9-7 ATS and 5-3 at home ATS.  We think they are still not going to get enough respect especially the first half of the season.

Atlanta: The Falcon's are a good team, but they always get too many points due to Vick.  Especially at home. In the last 5 years the Falcons have never had a winning ATS at home with an overall record of 15-21-1 ATS.  They are a much better road team ATS going 22-19-2 ATS in the same time frame.

Baltimore: Bet the under when the Ravens are on the road, they are 10-1 in their last 11 games! The Ravens are always a good bet 51-33-3 the last 5 yrs ATS

Buffalo: You can throw away the last 5 years with the Bills, too many changes so we have to look at individuals here and with new starters the first half of the year does not look promising for Bills bettors.  There may be some very good bargains to be had on under bets the first few weeks of the year.

Carolina the last 2 years is a remarkable 14-2 as a dog and 5-14 as a favorite. Quite a nice line to work off of.

Chicago: The Bears may be a good over play early in the season, they have been pretty well revamped and Cedric Benson and Mushin Muhammed are sure to give them a boost on a horrendous offence last year that many oddsmakers will not be prepared for.

Cincinnati: The Bengals may have started out 0-5 ATS last year, but once Palmer got going he was 6-2 ATS in his next 8 starts before sitting out the final three games.  Throw the history out the window because Palmer makes the difference.

Cleveland: The Browns were 6-10 last year ATS, we think this year may be worse than that.

Dallas: The Cowboys are building on defense with 4 DE's in the draft and the signing of pocket-locked Drew Bledsoe the under will be a reasonable bet on these Cowboys early in the season.

Denver: When looking at the Broncos from a historical betting trend standpoint you really have to dig deep.  They hover around .500 in all the major categories ATS.  The value this year appears to be in the over bets after the broncos decided that being Cleveland's defense was the way to go for some reason.

Detroit: If you are looking to place a lot of money with the Lions , or especially if you have in the past, it may be time to realize that you have a problem.  The only good thing we can find to say about the Lions is they are a pretty good dog team going 35-26-1 over the last 5 years.  They should be a team on the rise this year and you can probably get a few good bets in early on.

Green Bay: The Packers have done very well on the road the last 2 years at 11-5-1. They also are 16-10 as a dog overall the last 5 years.  The bad news?  They are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Houston: The Texans don't like to lose.  they are 19-9-1 after a straight up loss the last 3 years.

Indianapolis: The combination of a good offense and a poor defense will net you a lot of money played right.  Indy is 42-24-4 on the "over" the last 4 years.

Jacksonville: The Jags play well as dogs.  Last year they were 7-3 as dogs.  25-20-2 the last 5 years.

Kansas City: The Chiefs have an all new defense and it remains to be seen how well they gel.  if they gel early there may be some gems in early games as the offense is just getting better even as it has some age questions.  The defense last year led to a 2-8 record ATS when favored last year.  Don't look for  a repeat of that this year.

Miami: The Dolphins are 3-13 at home ATS over the last 2 years.  Need we say more?

Minnesota: The first half of the year is the time to play the Vikes. In the last two years they are 10-2 over the first 6 games. The Vikings are also a strong turf team and a weak grass team.  The last 2 years they are 3-7 ATS on the grass outdoors while overall they are 16-18 so on turf they are 13-11.  Stay away on grass whenever possible.

New England: The Patriots certainly are not overrated they are 27-9-2 ATS (15-3-1 at home) the last two years and 4-0 after a loss.

New Orleans: The Saints have taken on the role of classic underachiever going 2-8 ATS when favored the last ten times, yet are a very good 12-5 in their last 17 when playing as the underdog.  You can figure out the play from there on your own.

New York Giants: Throw the trends out the window as its Manning time in the Big City. Last years 8-8 ATS should be improved on as Manning is maturing faster than most books are giving him credit for

New York Jets: The Jets are 25-17-2 on the road ATS but only 17-22-2 at home ATS.  Great Road team unless they are the underdog when they are 20-21-1.  The moral is take the Jets when favored on the road they cover

Oakland: The Raiders are a horrendous 9-22-1 ATS for the last two years. Even though the Raiders are poised to make some offensive improvement, don't look for much improvement.

Philadelphia: The Eagles might be fighting amongst themselves but that doesn't change the fact that they are an incredible 30-13 ATS on the road over the last 5 years and 16-4-1 after a straight up loss.

Pittsburgh: The Steelers are 20-9-1 as a road dog in the last 5 years and as long as the number stays reasonable this year that looks like a number that can continue based on the schedule.  you can always look for good under plays with the Steelers as well.

San Diego: Last years 13-2-2 ATS is not likely to be repeated as the Chargers won't be sneaking up on anyone this year.  Even after last years record they are still under .500 for the last 5 years.

San Francisco: The last time the 49ers were better than .500 against the spread was 2001 this year will not be the next.  They are at least a year away.  Stay away.

Seattle: 5-12 ATS last year sent many bettors crying.  The trends say they will be no better than 7-9 this year ATS and with a divisional fight looming this year wont be very pretty in Seattle.

St. Louis: 36-48-3 over the last 5 years the only place to look to bet with the Rams is the Over/Under lines.  They have the ability to score a lot of points and this year there are a few games to look for over bets on wk 6 at Indianapolis should be a score fest along with weeks 14 and 15 at Minnesota and versus Philly respectively if the overs stay below 45 or so take them.

Tampa Bay: No great surprise here. Great defense and poor offense translate to under plays for the Bucs.  They are 42-25-1 under the last four years and 10-5-1 under last year.

Tennessee: 2-6 as a home favorite last year makes us think the team is slipping.  Beware as last years 5-11 record looks to signal the start of a trend versus a historical fluke.

Washington: The Skins are a typical reverse spread team being 15-23-2 ATS at home yet are a respectable 21-18-1 road ATS team.  They also are a very good dog team being 26-19 ATS over the last 5 years.